en-us	The virus that triggered a supply shock in China has now caused a global shock.  
zh-cn	在中国触发供应冲击的病毒现已造成全球性冲击。 

en-us	Developing economies in East Asia and the Pacific (EAP), recovering from trade tensions and struggling with COVID-19, now face the prospect of a global financial shock and recession. 
zh-cn	东亚太平洋地区（简称东亚）发展中经济体仍在从贸易紧张局势的影响中恢复，并在奋力抗击新冠疫情，现在又面临全球金融冲击与经济衰退的前景。 

en-us	Sound macroeconomic policies and prudent financial regulation have equipped most EAP countries to deal with normal tremors.  
zh-cn	健全的宏观经济政策和审慎的金融监管使大多数东亚国家具备了应对正常波动的能力。 

en-us	But we are witnessing an unusual combination of disruptive and mutually reinforcing events.  
zh-cn	但我们所目睹的是各种具有颠覆性和相互加强的事件的非同寻常的组合。 

en-us	Significant economic pain seems unavoidable in all countries.  
zh-cn	严重的经济阵痛在所有国家似乎都不可避免。 

en-us	Countries must take action now – including urgent investments in healthcare capacity and targeted fiscal measures – to mitigate some of the immediate impacts, according to East Asia and Pacific in the Time of COVID-19, the World Bank’s April 2020 Economic Update for East Asia and the Pacific. 
zh-cn	各国必须立即采取行动，包括对医疗卫生能力的紧急投资和有针对性的财政政策，以缓解部分直接影响，世界银行2020年4月期东亚与太平洋地区经济半年报《新冠疫情时期的东亚与太平洋地区》认为。 

en-us	In a rapidly changing environment, making precise growth projections is unusually difficult.  
zh-cn	在快速变化的环境中，做出精准的增长预测异常困难。 

en-us	Therefore, the report presents both a baseline and a lower case scenario.  
zh-cn	因此，报告提出了基线情景和悲观情景假设。 

en-us	Growth in the developing EAP region is projected to slow to 2.1 percent in the baseline and to negative 0.5 in the lower case scenario in 2020, from an estimated 5.8 percent in 2019.  
zh-cn	预计2020年基线情景下东亚发展中国家增速将从2019年估计增速的5.8%放慢至2.1%，在悲观情景下降至负0.5%。

en-us	Growth in China is projected to decline to 2.3 percent in the baseline and 0.1 percent in the lower case scenario in 2020, from 6.1 percent in 2019.  
zh-cn	预计2020年基线情景下中国增速将从2019年6.1%降至2.3%，在悲观情景下降至0.1%。

en-us	Containment of the pandemic would allow for a sustained recovery in the region, although risks to the outlook from financial market stress would remain high. 
zh-cn	遏制疫情蔓延能让东亚地区实现持续复苏，但金融市场压力对前景构成的风险将会居高不下。 

en-us	The COVID-19 shock will also have a serious impact on poverty.  
zh-cn	新冠疫情冲击也会对贫困产生严重影响。 

en-us	The report estimates that under the baseline growth scenario, nearly 24 million fewer people will escape poverty across the region in 2020 than would have in the absence of the pandemic (using a poverty line of US$5.50/day).  
zh-cn	报告估计，在基线增长情景下，2020年整个东亚地区脱贫人口将会比不发生大流行的情况下减少近2400万人（采用日均生活费5.5美元的贫困标准）。 

en-us	If the economic situation were to deteriorate further, and the lower-case scenario prevails, then poverty is estimated to increase by about 11 million people.  
zh-cn	如果经济形势进一步恶化，悲观情景占上风，那么据估计贫困人口反而还会增加约1100万人。 

en-us	Prior projections estimated that nearly 35 million people would escape poverty in EAP in 2020, including over 25 million in China alone. 
zh-cn	根据原先的预测，2020年东亚地区将有近3500万人脱贫，其中仅中国脱贫人数就超过2500万人。 

en-us	“Countries in East Asia and the Pacific that were already coping with international trade tensions and the repercussions of the spread of COVID-19 in China are now faced with a global shock,” said Victoria Kwakwa, Vice President for East Asia and the Pacific at the World Bank.  
zh-cn	世界银行东亚与太平洋地区副行长维多利亚·克瓦表示：“东亚太平洋地区各国已在疲于应对国际贸易紧张和新冠疫情蔓延的影响，现在又面临全球性冲击。” 

en-us	The good news is that the region has strengths it can tap, but countries will have to act fast and at a scale not previously imagined. 
zh-cn	好消息是这个地区拥有可供利用的实力，但各国必须快速并以从未想到的规模行动起来。 

en-us	Among the actions recommended by the report are urgent investments in national healthcare capacity and longer-term preparedness.  
zh-cn	报告建议采取的措施包括紧急投资加强国家医疗卫生能力和更长期的防范。 

en-us	The report also suggests taking an integrated view of containment and macroeconomic policies.  
zh-cn	报告还建议统筹兼顾疫情防控与宏观经济政策。 

en-us	Targeted fiscal measures – such as subsidies for sick pay and healthcare – would help with containment and ensure that temporary deprivation does not translate into long-term losses of human capital. 
zh-cn	有针对性的财政措施，比如病假工资和医疗补贴，有助于遏制疫情，并确保暂时贫困不会转化成人力资本的长期损失。 

en-us	“In addition to bold national actions, deeper international cooperation is the most effective vaccine against this virulent threat,” said Aaditya Mattoo, Chief Economist for East Asia and the Pacific at the World Bank. 
zh-cn	世界银行东亚与太平洋地区首席经济学家阿迪特亚·马图说：“除了大胆的国家行动外，深化国际合作是抵御病毒威胁最有效的疫苗。” 

en-us	Countries in East Asia and the Pacific and elsewhere must fight this disease together, keep trade open and coordinate macroeconomic policy. 
zh-cn	东亚太平洋地区以及其他地区各国必须共同防控疫情，保持贸易开放，协调宏观经济政策。 

en-us	The report calls for international cooperation and new cross-border public-private partnerships to ramp up the production and supply of key medical supplies and services in the face of the pandemic, and to ensure financial stability in the aftermath.  
zh-cn	报告呼吁国际合作和新的跨国公共与私营部门合作，以加强防控大流行的关键医疗物资和服务的生产供应，并确保疫情之后的金融稳定。 

en-us	Critically, trade policy should stay open so medical and other supplies are available to all countries, as well as to facilitate the region’s rapid economic recovery. 
zh-cn	至关重要的是，贸易政策应保持开放，以保障所有国家的医疗及其他物资供应，以及促进地区经济的快速复苏。 

en-us	Another policy recommendation is easing credit to help households smooth their consumption and help firms survive the immediate shock. 
zh-cn	另一个政策建议是放松信贷，以帮助居民平滑消费，帮助企业安然度过直接冲击。 

en-us	However, given the potential of an extended crisis, the report emphasizes the need to couple such measures with regulatory oversight, particularly as many countries in EAP already carry a high burden of corporate and household debt.  
zh-cn	但是，考虑到危机延长的可能性，报告强调了将此类措施与监管挂钩的必要性，尤其是考虑到东亚地区很多国家已存在高额的企业和居民债务负担。 

en-us	For poorer countries, debt relief will be essential, so that critical resources can be focused on managing the economic and health impacts of the pandemic. 
zh-cn	对于较贫困国家，债务减免将是必要的，以便集中关键资源用于管理大流行对经济和健康的影响。 

en-us	The report also highlights the substantially higher risk of falling into poverty among households dependent on sectors that are particularly vulnerable to COVID-19 impacts, such as tourism in Thailand and the Pacific Islands, manufacturing in Cambodia and Vietnam, and among households dependent on informal labor in all countries.  
zh-cn	报告还指出，依靠特别容易受疫情影响的行业（如泰国和太平洋群岛的旅游业、柬埔寨和越南的制造业等）的居民以及依靠非正规行业的居民陷入贫困的风险显著上升。 

en-us	In some countries, the impact of COVID-19 comes on top of country-specific factors, such as droughts (Thailand) or commodity shocks (Mongolia).  
zh-cn	在有些国家，疫情的影响是在干旱（泰国）或大宗商品冲击（蒙古国）等国家特定因素之上雪上加霜。 

en-us	In the Pacific Island countries, the outlook for 2020 is subject to substantial risks due to their economies’ reliance on grants, tourism, and imports. 
zh-cn	在太平洋群岛各国，由于其经济依靠赠款、旅游业和进口，2020年的经济前景面临很大风险。 

en-us	Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, economic circumstances within countries and regions are fluid and change on a day-by-day basis.  
zh-cn	由于新冠肺炎大流行的缘故，国家和地区内的经济情况每天变化不定。 

en-us	The analysis in the report is based on the latest country-level data available as of March 27. 
zh-cn	本报告的分析基于截至３月27日的最新国别数据。 

en-us	The World Bank Group is rolling out a $14 billion fast-track package to strengthen the COVID-19 response in developing countries and shorten the time to recovery.  
zh-cn	世界银行集团推出140亿美元快速道方案，以加强发展中国家的新冠疫情应对和缩短复苏时间。 

en-us	The immediate response includes financing, policy advice and technical assistance to help countries cope with the health and economic impacts of the pandemic.  
zh-cn	直接应对内容包括资金、政策咨询和技术援助，帮助各国应对大流行对健康和经济造成的影响。 

en-us	The IFC is providing $8 billion in financing to help private companies affected by the pandemic and preserve jobs. 
zh-cn	国际金融公司（IFC）提供80亿美元资金帮助受疫情影响的私营企业和维持就业。

en-us	IBRD and IDA are making an initial US$6 billion available for the health-response. 
zh-cn	国际复兴开发银行（IBRD）和国际开发协会（IDA）初期提供60亿美元用于医疗投入。 

en-us	As countries need broader support, the World Bank Group will deploy up to $160 billion over 15 months to protect the poor and vulnerable, support businesses, and bolster economic recovery.
zh-cn	随着各国需要更广泛的支持，世界银行集团将在未来15个月部署1600亿美元，用于保护贫困弱势群体，支持企业和促进经济复苏。