en-us	 WASHINGTON, 8 April 2020 – Decisive policy measures that prioritize investments in health care systems and provide safety nets for people, especially the most vulnerable, are critical to mitigating the impacts of the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic in Europe and Central Asia, says the Spring 2020 Economic Update for the region. 
zh-cn	2020年4月8日，华盛顿：优先投资医疗服务体系，为人民、尤其是最脆弱群体提供社会安全网，采取这些果断政策措施对于缓解新冠疫情对欧洲中亚地区的影响至关重要，世界银行欧洲中亚地区2020年春季经济简报称。 

en-us	In addition, countries in the region can help sustain economic activity by supporting the private sector with temporary business credits, tax cuts, or tax payment deferrals. 
zh-cn	此外，该地区各国可以通过临时性营业信贷、减税或延期纳税等措施支持私营部门，帮助维持经济活动。

en-us	Small and medium enterprises that are impacted could benefit significantly from targeted government subsidies. 
zh-cn	受疫情影响的中小企业可从有针对性的政府补贴中获益匪浅。 

en-us	“During these exceptionally difficult times, it is imperative for policymakers to act decisively,” says Cyril Muller, World Bank Vice President for Europe and Central Asia. 
zh-cn	世界银行欧洲中亚地区副行长西里尔·穆勒说：“在目前极为困难的时期，决策者果断行动是当务之急。

en-us	“This means moving rapidly to strengthen health systems and social safety nets, supporting the private sector, and preserving financial stability and confidence — all critical to people’s lives.” 
zh-cn	这意味着快速采取措施加强医疗卫生体系和社会安全网，救助私营部门，维持金融稳定和信心，这些对于人民生活都十分重要。” 

en-us	Projections of the economic implications of COVID-19 are subject to significant uncertainty. 
zh-cn	对新冠疫情经济影响的预测受到严重的不确定性影响。

en-us	Therefore, the report produces simulation exercises to illustrate the range of growth outcomes that may materialize as a result of the pandemic. 
zh-cn	因此，报告通过情景模拟来说明大流行可能导致的增长结果范围。

en-us	Scenarios suggest regional growth will fall into a recession in 2020, contracting to between −4.4 and −2.8 percent, held back by the coronavirus pandemic, before rebounding in 2021 as policy measures are introduced, global commodity prices gradually recover, and trade strengthens. 
zh-cn	情景模拟显示，受到新冠疫情拖累，2020年欧洲中亚地区的经济增长将陷入衰退，收缩范围在负4.4%到负2.8%之间。随着政策措施出台、全球大宗商品价格逐渐回升和贸易回暖，2021年将出现回弹。 

en-us	“Social distancing and closing of non-essential businesses and schools are necessary measures to contain the spread of the pandemic and save lives,” says Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, World Bank Chief Economist for Europe and Central Asia. 
zh-cn	世界银行欧洲中亚地区首席经济学家阿斯利·德米古克-孔特说：“保持社交距离，关闭非必要的企业和学校，都是遏制疫情扩散和拯救生命的必要措施。

en-us	“At the same time, policies must seek to minimize the economic costs of these measures and ensure the recovery is quick rather than prolonged, once the pandemic is over.” 
zh-cn	与此同时，政策必须寻求把这些措施的经济成本降到最低，确保在疫情结束后实现快速而不是漫长的复苏。” 

en-us	Supportive measures such as cash transfers or healthcare subsidies, to help vulnerable people and families, and temporary business credit, and tax breaks to businesses will be critical to cushion the downturn and preserve jobs, says the report. 
zh-cn	报告说，采取诸如现金转移支付或医疗补贴等支持性政策救助弱势群体和家庭，利用临时性营业信贷和税收优惠救助企业，对于缓冲经济衰退影响和维持就业至关重要。 

en-us	The COVID-19 pandemic is occurring at an already fragile time for the region. 
zh-cn	新冠疫情爆发时欧洲中亚地区已处于脆弱时期。

en-us	Growth in the emerging market and developing economies of Europe and Central Asia decelerated to 2.2 percent in 2019. 
zh-cn	该地区的新兴市场和发展中经济体2019年增速已放慢至2.2%。

en-us	Since February, the region has faced an increasingly uphill battle to cope with both the immediate health crisis and the long-term challenges brought about by the global pandemic. 
zh-cn	自2月份以来，该地区面临同时应对当下卫生危机和全球大流行带来的长期挑战，两面作战，处境日益艰难。  

en-us	The World Bank Group is taking broad, fast action to help developing countries strengthen their pandemic response, increase disease surveillance, improve public health interventions, and help the private sector continue to operate and sustain jobs. 
zh-cn	世界银行集团采取广泛、快速的行动，帮助发展中国家加强大流行应对，强化疫情监测，改善公共卫生干预，帮助私营部门继续运营和维持就业。

en-us	It is deploying up to $160 billion in financial support over the next 15 months to help countries protect the poor and vulnerable, support businesses, and bolster economic recovery. 
zh-cn	世行集团将在未来15个月部署1600亿美元资金支持，帮助各国保护贫困弱势群体，扶助企业，促进经济复苏。 

en-us	Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, economic circumstances within countries and regions are fluid and change on a day-by-day basis. The analysis in this report is based on the latest country-level data available as of 20 March 2020.
zh-cn	由于COVID-19大流行，国家和地区内部的经济形势动荡不定，并且每天都在变化，报告里的情景模拟是基于截至2020年3月20日的数据。