en-us	GENEVA (ILO News) – The economic and labour crisis created by the COVID-19 pandemic could increase global unemployment by almost 25 million, according to a new assessment by the International Labour Organization (ILO).  
zh-cn	国际劳工组织新闻（日内瓦）——国际劳工组织最新评估显示，2019冠状病毒病大流行导致的经济和劳动力市场危机，可能会导致全球新增约2500万失业人口。 

en-us	However, if we see an internationally coordinated policy response, as happened in the global financial crisis of 2008/9, then the impact on global unemployment could be significantly lower.  
zh-cn	然而，如果国际社会采取如2008/09年全球经济危机时的协同应对政策，那么将显著降低本次危机对全球就业的影响。 

en-us	The preliminary assessment note, COVID-19 and the world of work: Impacts and responses, calls for urgent, large-scale and coordinated measures across three pillars:  
zh-cn	简报《2019冠状病毒病和劳动世界：影响与应对》（英文）通过初步评估，呼吁在三大政策支柱上采取紧急的、大规模的、协调一致的措施， 

en-us	protecting workers in the workplace, stimulating the economy and employment, and supporting jobs and incomes.  
zh-cn	即保护工作场所的劳动者，刺激经济和就业以及保障工作和收入。 

en-us	These measures include extending social protection, supporting employment retention (i.e. short-time work, paid leave, other subsidies), and financial and tax relief, including for micro, small and medium-sized enterprises.  
zh-cn	这些政策措施包括扩大社会保护，稳定就业（如：短期工作，带薪休假，其他补贴等）和财政和税收减免，包括对中小微企业的减免。 

en-us	In addition, the note proposes fiscal and monetary policy measures, and lending and financial support for specific economic sectors.  
zh-cn	除此之外，简报还建议出台财政和货币政策措施，以及为特定经济部门提供借贷和经济支持。 

en-us	Different scenarios 
zh-cn	基于不同情境的评估 

en-us	Based on different scenarios for the impact of COVID-19 on global GDP growth, the ILO estimates indicate a rise in global unemployment of between 5.3 million (“low” scenario) and 24.7 million (“high” scenario) from a base level of 188 million in 2019.  
zh-cn	基于2019冠状病毒病影响全球GDP增长存在不同情境，国际劳工组织估计，在2019年1.88亿的基本水平上，全球将增加530万（“低”影响情境）至2470万（“高”影响情境）失业人口。 

en-us	By comparison, the 2008-9 global financial crisis increased global unemployment by 22 million.  
zh-cn	相比之下，2008-2009年全球金融危机使全球失业人口增加了2200万。 

en-us	Underemployment is also expected to increase on a large scale, as the economic consequences of the virus outbreak translate into reductions in working hours and wages.  
zh-cn	病毒爆发导致的经济后果转化为工作时间和工资减少，预计非充分就业会因此大规模增加。 

en-us	Self-employment in developing countries, which often serves to cushion the impact of changes,  
zh-cn	发展中国家的自体经营通常可以缓解变化带来的影响， 

en-us	may not do so this time because of restrictions on the movement of people (e.g. service providers) and goods.  
zh-cn	但由于本次危机中人员（如：提供服务者）和物资流动受到限制，因而很难发挥作用。 

en-us	Falls in employment also mean large income losses for workers.  
zh-cn	就业减少也意味着劳动者收入大幅下降。 

en-us	The study estimates these as being between USD 860 billion and USD 3.4 trillion by the end of 2020. 
zh-cn	研究预测，到2020年底，这一下降将在8600亿至3.

en-us	This will translate into falls in consumption of goods and services, in turn affecting the prospects for businesses and economies.  
zh-cn	4万亿美元之间，这将进一步转化为商品和服务消费的减少，进而影响对经济和企业前景的预期。 

en-us	Working poverty is expected to increase significantly too, as “the strain on incomes resulting from the decline in economic activity will devastate workers close to or below the poverty line”.  
zh-cn	工作中的贫困人口预计也将显著增加，因为“经济活动下降导致的收入紧张将使接近或低于贫困线的工人遭受更严峻的打击”。 

en-us	The ILO estimates that between 8.8 and 35 million additional people will be in working poverty worldwide, compared to the original estimate for 2020 (which projected a decline of 14 million worldwide).  
zh-cn	国际劳工组织预测，与2020年的最初估计（预计全球将减少1400万）相比，全球将新增880万至3500万工作中的贫困人口。 

en-us	Swift and coordinated policy responses 
zh-cn	采取快速协同应对政策 

en-us	“This is no longer only a global health crisis, it is also a major labour market and economic crisis that is having a huge impact on people,” said ILO Director-General Guy Ryder.  
zh-cn	这不再仅仅是全球健康危机，而是将对人们生活产生巨大影响的劳动力市场和经济危机，”国际劳工组织总干事盖∙莱德指出。 

en-us	“In 2008, the world presented a united front to address the consequences of the global financial crisis, and the worst was averted.  
zh-cn	2008年，全世界结成统一战线共同应对全球经济危机带来的影响，避免了最坏的后果。 

en-us	We need that kind of leadership and resolve now,” he added.  
zh-cn	我们现在需要重拾那样的领导力和决心。”他补充道。 

en-us	This is no longer only a global health crisis, it is also a major labour market and economic crisis that is having a huge impact on people." 
zh-cn	这不再仅仅是全球健康危机，而是将对人们生活产生巨大影响的劳动力市场和经济危机。" 

en-us	The ILO note warns that certain groups will be disproportionately affected by the jobs crisis, which could increase inequality.  
zh-cn	国际劳工组织简报预警，特定群体将格外受到这场就业危机的严重影响，这可能加剧不平等。 

en-us	These include people in less protected and low-paid jobs, particularly youth and older workers. Women and migrants too.
zh-cn	这些群体包括受保护程度较低和从事低薪工作的群体，尤其是青年和老年劳动者，女性和移民劳动者。 

en-us	The latter are vulnerable due to the lack of social protection and rights, and women tend to be over-represented in low-paid jobs and affected sectors. 
zh-cn	移民工由于缺乏社会保护和权利保障更加脆弱；女性则因集中在低薪和易受危机影响的部门而脆弱。 

en-us	“In times of crisis like the current one, we have two key tools that can help mitigate the damage and restore public confidence.  
zh-cn	“在当前这样的危机关头，有两个关键工具可以帮助减轻损失，恢复公众信心。

en-us	Firstly, social dialogue, engaging with workers and employers and their representatives, is vital for building public trust and support for the measures that we need to overcome this crisis.  
zh-cn	首先是社会对话。与工人和雇主及其代表的社会对话对于建立公众信任和支持我们克服这一危机所需要的措施是至关重要的。 

en-us	Secondly, international labour standards provide a tried-and-trusted foundation for policy responses that focus on a recovery that is sustainable and equitable. 
zh-cn	其次，国际劳工标准为实现可持续和公平的复苏而采取的应对政策，提供了久经考验的基础。 

en-us	Everything needs to be done to minimize the damage to people at this difficult time,” concluded Ryder.  
zh-cn	在这个困难时刻，需要采取一切措施以最大程度地减少对人的伤害。” 国际劳工组织总干事盖∙莱德总结道。

en-us	
zh-cn	